{"id":40083,"date":"2021-04-21T17:29:33","date_gmt":"2021-04-21T09:29:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.99.co\/singapore\/insider\/?p=40083"},"modified":"2022-06-13T17:27:10","modified_gmt":"2022-06-13T09:27:10","slug":"rising-interest-rates-housing-affordability","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.99.co\/singapore\/insider\/rising-interest-rates-housing-affordability\/","title":{"rendered":"Now that interest rates are rising, how will it affect housing affordability?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"bsf_rt_marker\"><\/div><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Over the past several months, there\u2019s been a growing concern about housing affordability. Despite the recession and pandemic, housing prices have been on the rise ever since the end of the circuit breaker.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Resale prices for <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.srx.com.sg\/research\/60901\/hdb-resale-prices-continue-rising-for-nine-straight-months-in-march-2021-year-on-year-prices-increase-95\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">HDB flats<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.srx.com.sg\/research\/60931\/condo-resale-prices-rising-for-eighth-straight-month-monthly-volumes-estimated-to-hit-10-year-high\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">condo units<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> have been rising for the ninth and eighth straight month, respectively. Factors such as work-from-home arrangements and low interest rates have been attributed to the price surge.\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It\u2019s also <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.straitstimes.com\/business\/property\/talk-of-more-private-property-cooling-measures\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">sparked speculations of another round of cooling measures<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, with the government warning in January that it\u2019s keeping a close watch on the property market.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">And now that interest rates are rising in tandem with those in the US, Senior Minister Tharman Shanmugaratnam has <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2021-04-06\/singapore-minister-cautions-home-buyers-on-rising-interest-rates\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">warned that home buyers should think carefully about their property purchase<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Rising interest rates can be seen as a sign of a strong economic recovery in the US, as well as in Singapore. In fact, after a contraction of 5.4% in 2020, Singapore\u2019s economy is expected to grow between 4% and 6% in 2021.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">While this means that most people will be able to keep their jobs and service their loans, the increased interest rates can also affect a small percentage of households in the private property sector. The latter group may face cash-flow issues and difficulties servicing their loans.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><strong>How much will rising interest rates affect housing affordability?\u00a0<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The truth is, even when interest rates were low, there have been growing concerns about housing affordability, especially given the price increases in the public resale market. Median monthly household incomes have also <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.todayonline.com\/singapore\/hardest-hit-pandemic-bottom-10-households-see-earnings-shrink-61-2020\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">dropped for the first time last year in more than a decade<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_40084\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-40084\" style=\"width: 600px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.99.co\/singapore\/insider\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/rising-interest-rates-housing-affordability-hdb-condo.jpg\" class=\"img-link media-img img-link media-img\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-40084\" src=\"https:\/\/www.99.co\/singapore\/insider\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/rising-interest-rates-housing-affordability-hdb-condo.jpg\" alt=\"HDB and condos in Singapore\" width=\"600\" height=\"400\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.99.co\/singapore\/insider\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/rising-interest-rates-housing-affordability-hdb-condo.jpg 1920w, https:\/\/www.99.co\/singapore\/insider\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/rising-interest-rates-housing-affordability-hdb-condo-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.99.co\/singapore\/insider\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/rising-interest-rates-housing-affordability-hdb-condo-150x100.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-40084\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Resale prices of HDB flats and condo units have been increasing for the past several months.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">It\u2019s found that <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.businesstimes.com.sg\/real-estate\/higher-prices-covid-hit-household-income-lower-relative-affordability-of-hdb-resale\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">overall median prices of HDB resale flats transacted last year were about 3.9 times of a household\u2019s median yearly earnings<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">. Based on this affordability ratio, a household has to save for 3.9 years, without any other expenses, to buy public housing from the resale market.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The last time the ratio was this high was in 2015 and 2016. It\u2019s also the first time in seven years that the ratio has increased for HDB resale flats.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><b>Now that interest rates are increasing, it can increase your monthly mortgage payments<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, especially if you\u2019re taking a bank loan.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">On the other hand, there are buffers in place that ensure you\u2019ll still be able to service your loans.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">For instance, the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.99.co\/singapore\/insider\/property-jargon-of-the-day-total-debt-servicing-ratio-tdsr\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Total Debt Servicing Ratio (TDSR)<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> restricts your total monthly debt repayments to 60% of your monthly income. It covers all types of loans, including property loans, car loans and credit card debts. The TDSR ensures that you won\u2019t be overleveraged.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As long as you\u2019re spending within your means, the rising interest rates shouldn\u2019t be too much of a concern.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">There\u2019s also a stress-test rate of 3.5% that banks use. So even when interest rates increase, this stress-rate ensures that borrowers can still bear the increase.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">And if you\u2019re taking an HDB loan, you\u2019re essentially protected from the rising interest rates. This is because HDB loans have a fixed interest rate, with the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.99.co\/singapore\/insider\/hdb-home-loan-rate-peg-cpf-interest\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">current rate at 2.6% for at least two decades<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Still, despite all these frameworks in place, it\u2019s good advice to plan out your finances before committing to such a large purchase.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><strong>What can you do to hedge against the rising interest rates?<\/strong>\u00a0<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As a new homeowner, you can take a home loan pegged to a fixed interest rate, which banks also offer. Or if you\u2019re an existing homeowner, you can consider refinancing or repricing your mortgage.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_40085\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-40085\" style=\"width: 600px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.99.co\/singapore\/insider\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/rising-interest-rates-housing-affordability-mortgage.jpg\" class=\"img-link media-img img-link media-img\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-40085\" src=\"https:\/\/www.99.co\/singapore\/insider\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/rising-interest-rates-housing-affordability-mortgage.jpg\" alt=\"A couple shaking hands after signing mortgage\" width=\"600\" height=\"401\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.99.co\/singapore\/insider\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/rising-interest-rates-housing-affordability-mortgage.jpg 1000w, https:\/\/www.99.co\/singapore\/insider\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/04\/rising-interest-rates-housing-affordability-mortgage-150x100.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-40085\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Taking a fixed rate interest home loan can help hedge against the rising interest rate.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Home loans with fixed rates can give you peace of mind, as you know how much you\u2019re paying every month. They\u2019re also usually fixed for up to three years, so it\u2019s a good option if you prefer stability.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">On the other hand, floating rates are usually lower than fixed rates, translating to lower monthly instalments. While it can help to save on cost, it comes with the risk of rising interest rates.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><strong>What to take note before signing up for a new home loan?\u00a0<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Whether you\u2019re a new or existing homeowner, here are a few things to consider when signing up for a new home loan.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h4><strong>The change from SIBOR to SORA<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">There will be a change in reference rate for floating rate home loans. Those that are pegged to SIBOR will be progressively changed to SORA by 2024.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Short for Singapore Interbank Offered Rate, SIBOR refers to the projected rate at which Singapore banks borrow from each other. Singapore Overnight Rate Average (SORA) is based on the actual transactions of interbank transactions in Singapore.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">One of the reasons for the change is that SORA is considered to be more stable than SIBOR.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h4><strong>Lock-in period<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Look out for the lock-in period before you repay your loan early, refinance or sell your property. This is because there are penalties for terminating the loan within the period.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h4><strong>Refinancing costs<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">When you\u2019re <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.99.co\/singapore\/insider\/5-common-mistakes-singaporeans-make-when-refinancing\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">refinancing<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, don\u2019t just focus on the lower interest rates and monthly instalments.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Refinancing also comes with its costs, such as legal fees and valuation fees. Coupled with early redemption penalties, the costs can exceed savings from the lower interest rates.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Instead of refinancing, you may consider repricing. Since you\u2019re basically dealing with the same bank, the process will be faster, with less paperwork and fees.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ultimately, rising interest rates can increase your monthly instalments and affect housing affordability to a certain extent. But as long as you spend and borrow within your means, it should not be too much of a concern. Should you face difficulties servicing your mortgage, consider refinancing or approaching your bank for repricing.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">If you found this article helpful, 99.co recommends <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.99.co\/singapore\/insider\/ministers-statements-on-property-market-fuel-fear-of-new-cooling-measures\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Ministers\u2019 statements on property market fuel fear of new cooling measures<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> and <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.99.co\/singapore\/insider\/how-badly-will-rising-interest-rates-hurt-singapore-property-buyers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">How Badly will Rising Interest Rates Hurt Singapore Property Buyers?<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Looking for a property to buy or rent? Find your dream home on<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/99.co\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> Singapore\u2019s largest property portal 99.co<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">!<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Over the past several months, there\u2019s been a growing concern about housing affordability. Despite the recession and pandemic, housing prices have been on the rise ever since the end of the circuit breaker.\u00a0 Resale prices for HDB flats and condo units have been rising for the ninth and eighth straight month, respectively. Factors such as&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":111,"featured_media":40086,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_relevanssi_hide_post":"","_relevanssi_hide_content":"","_relevanssi_pin_for_all":"","_relevanssi_pin_keywords":"","_relevanssi_unpin_keywords":"","_relevanssi_related_keywords":"","_relevanssi_related_include_ids":"","_relevanssi_related_exclude_ids":"","_relevanssi_related_no_append":"","_relevanssi_related_not_related":"","_relevanssi_related_posts":"","_relevanssi_noindex_reason":"","_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[53593,57131],"tags":[54797,53926,53947,55310,53918,54814],"persona":[],"class_list":{"2":"type-post","15":"entry","16":"has-post-thumbnail"},"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v25.7.1 (Yoast SEO v25.7) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Now that interest rates are rising, how will it affect housing affordability? - 99.co<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"While rising interest rates can increase monthly mortgage instalments, how much will it affect housing affordability? 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